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Essay
How to End U.S. Roadway Deaths by 2050
Tens of thousands of people die on American roads every year. Bringing that number down to zero by 2050 is possible. We would have to change how we think about road safety, stop accepting car crashes as accidents, and make smart investments in technology.
Jun 24, 2019
Report
When Can Automated Vehicles Be Considered Safe Enough?
Establishing whether automated vehicles are acceptably safe is not straightforward, and continual technology development adds complication. Agreeing on the approaches to assess AV safety and improving communication about safety are important for building and sustaining public trust.
Oct 29, 2020

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Report
Model of Travel in London Phase 3: Mode and destination choice model estimation
RAND Europe and partners were commissioned by Transport for London (TfL) to update and enhance their strategic transport model, the Model of Travel in London (MoTiON). This report documents RAND Europe's work on the mode-destination choice models.
Feb 26, 2021
Report
Model of Travel in London Phase 3: Frequency model estimation
RAND Europe and partners were commissioned by Transport for London (TfL) to update and enhance their strategic transport model, the Model of Travel in London (MoTiON). This report documents RAND Europe's work on the frequency models.
Feb 26, 2021
Journal Article
Older Adults, New Mobility, and Automated Vehicles
Many older adults have fewer transport options, even as the transportation landscape is rapidly shifting. What are the potential benefits and harms to older adults that arise from the introduction of autonomous vehicles?
Feb 18, 2021
News Release
No Silver Bullet for Determining Safety of Automated Vehicles; Public Trust in AV Technology Rides on Multiple ...
No single method is sufficient to determine whether an automated vehicle is safe enough for the road, and ultimately consumers are most likely to trust the government about AV safety.
Oct 29, 2020
Commentary
Non-Emergency Medical Transportation in the Time of COVID-19
More widespread availability of rideshare for non-emergency medical transport may save lives, reserve emergency resources for those who need them, and provide safe pathways to primary care for the chronically ill. It could also save livelihoods, providing employment in a time of economic hardship.
May 5, 2020
Report
A new travel demand model for London: Estimation of the mode and destination choice models
RAND Europe and partners were commissioned by Transport for London (TfL) to develop a new strategic travel model for London, the New Demand Model (NDM). This report documents RAND Europe's work to develop new mode-destination choice models.
Jun 19, 2019
Commentary
Why AV Safety and Cybersecurity Need to Be Pursued in Tandem
Safety and cybersecurity are generally pursued by separate teams within autonomous vehicle companies. A joint approach to standards could optimize safety and cybersecurity and reduce overall risks to autonomous vehicle operation.
Mar 20, 2019
Commentary
The New AV Challenge: Creating a Universal Safety Framework
Autonomous vehicle developers are pursuing different safety strategies and technologies, making different claims, in different ways, about their systems. A universal framework could provide a more consistent and transparent view of progress in AV safety within and across the industry, better informing the public and policymakers.
Nov 2, 2018
Report
How AV Safety Can Be Defined, Tested, and Measured
The race to introduce automated vehicles to consumers and communities is based on the promise that they will be safer than conventional vehicles. A new framework for measuring AV safety provides the public, automotive industry, and policymakers with clearer ways to discuss AV technology issues.
Oct 11, 2018
Report
Bus fare and journey time elasticities and diversion factors for all modes: A rapid evidence assessment
In this review a substantial database of diversion-factor evidence was collated. Little recent evidence on bus fare and generalised journey time elasticities was identified. Recommendations are provided, based on analysis of the available evidence.
Jul 9, 2018
Multimedia
Safety in a World of Driverless Cars
In this Call with the Experts, senior information scientist Nidhi Kalra discusses a RAND study that shows putting driverless cars on the road before they're nearly perfect could save lives, and also describes new approaches for safety standards.
Feb 15, 2018
Article
Why Waiting for Perfect Autonomous Vehicles May Cost Lives
Some people think autonomous vehicles must be flawless before humans take their hands off the wheel. But putting AVs on the road before they're perfect improves the technology more quickly—and could save hundreds of thousands of lives over time.
Nov 7, 2017
Tool
Autonomous Vehicle Safety Scenario Explorer
How safe should autonomous vehicles be before they are allowed on the road for consumer use? To help explore answers to that question, the Safety Scenario Explorer compares future scenarios and estimates the resulting fatalities against a future without autonomous vehicles.
Nov 7, 2017
Report
Deploying Autonomous Vehicles Before They're Perfect Will Save More Lives
Autonomous vehicles should only have to be moderately better than human drivers before being widely used in the United States. This approach could save thousands of lives annually even before the technology is perfected.
Nov 7, 2017
Report
Model of Automated Vehicle Safety (MAVS)
The safety of autonomous vehicles is a principal concern for the transportation industry, policymakers, and the public. Comparing the impact on road fatalities under many different scenarios can help understand the circumstances in which autonomous vehicles can provide the greatest safety benefit.
Nov 7, 2017
Multimedia
How Safe Should Autonomous Vehicles Be Before They're Introduced to Market?
RAND researchers Nidhi Kalra and David G. Groves developed a model to compare 500 different scenarios of autonomous vehicle introduction, adoption, and improvement. The research shows that putting autonomous vehicles on the road sooner, allowing them to improve quicker, could save hundreds of thousands of lives over time.
Nov 6, 2017
News Release
Introducing Autonomous Vehicles Sooner Could Save Hundreds of Thousands of Lives Over Time
Autonomous vehicles should only have to be moderately better than human drivers before being widely used in the United States, an approach that could save thousands of lives annually even before the technology is perfected.
Nov 6, 2017
Report
How Should Autonomous Vehicles Be Regulated?
Autonomous vehicles could greatly reduce the risk of crashes. But the safety benefits are not yet proven and may not be known until AVs are widespread. What kind of regulatory approach could help balance innovation, risk, and uncertainty?
Sep 18, 2017
Commentary
Tesla Fatal Crash Reminds That Human Interface Remains Important
The first reported fatality in a self-driving vehicle is a chilling reminder that the evolving relationship with increasingly robotic motor vehicles needs to be a partnership, an undertaking with humans and machines managing the risks.
Jul 30, 2016

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