Research Brief
Little in Common
Feb 20, 2023
To what extent can the United States still cooperate with China and Russia in certain areas even in this era of strategic competition? On which issues? What are the obstacles, the potential benefits, and the risks associated with great power cooperation? This report, the first of a four-part series, presents the overarching findings of a study that explored these questions.
Assessing the Prospects for Great Power Cooperation in an Era of Competition — A Project Overview
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To what extent can the United States still cooperate with China and Russia in certain areas even in this era of strategic competition? On which issues? What are the obstacles, the potential benefits, and the risks associated with great power cooperation? This report, the first of a four-part series, presents the overarching findings of a study that explored these questions.
The authors find that the trade space for cooperation is already narrow; that the obstacles to cooperation — particularly the absence of trust — are growing; that there are comparatively few wedge issues to play China and Russia off of one another; and that the side benefits of pursuing cooperation over competition do not clearly outweigh the costs of doing so. In other words, any cooperation between the powers will be rare and needs to be narrowly focused on making competition safe, and U.S. leaders should expect that the era of strategic competition will be here to stay for the foreseeable future. This research was completed in September 2020, before the February 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. It has not been subsequently revised.
Chapter One
Cooperation in an Era of Strategic Competition
Chapter Two
The Narrow Trade Space for Cooperation
Chapter Three
The Significant and Growing Obstacles to Cooperation
Chapter Four
Second-Order Effects: Few Wedges, Mixed Externalities
Chapter Five
The Vanishing Trade Space
The research reported here was commissioned by Headquarters Air Force A-5 Strategy Section and conducted by the Strategy and Doctrine Program within RAND Project AIR FORCE.
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